Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.055442 0.065034 0.075740 0.088572 0.103527 0.120405 0.140895
2025-08-17 0.039081 0.051085 0.065943 0.085662 0.111129 0.142897 0.185536
2025-08-24 0.030597 0.043452 0.060669 0.085366 0.119842 0.166230 0.233379
2025-08-31 0.024732 0.037613 0.056024 0.084177 0.126069 0.186034 0.278358
2025-09-07 0.021283 0.034339 0.054076 0.085963 0.136081 0.211721 0.334479
2025-09-14 0.018062 0.030735 0.050884 0.085084 0.141540 0.230874 0.382836
2025-09-21 0.015283 0.027311 0.047339 0.082907 0.144314 0.245771 0.425912
2025-09-28 0.012980 0.024278 0.043917 0.080291 0.145755 0.258326 0.466272
2025-10-05 0.011790 0.022999 0.043272 0.082301 0.155279 0.285456 0.534813
2025-10-12 0.010594 0.021509 0.042006 0.082941 0.162300 0.308845 0.599336
2025-10-19 0.009529 0.020097 0.040666 0.083202 0.168543 0.331392 0.664836
2025-10-26 0.008721 0.019072 0.039914 0.084463 0.176798 0.358546 0.742271
2025-11-02 0.008114 0.018394 0.039803 0.087089 0.188301 0.393731 0.840778
2025-11-09 0.007066 0.016609 0.037167 0.084092 0.187822 0.404927 0.891893
2025-11-16 0.006381 0.015524 0.035866 0.083776 0.192977 0.428284 0.971433
2025-11-23 0.005718 0.014387 0.034288 0.082605 0.196052 0.447504 1.044249
2025-11-30 0.005335 0.013855 0.034007 0.084357 0.205945 0.482711 1.156947
2025-12-07 0.004828 0.012941 0.032700 0.083494 0.209598 0.504278 1.240906
2025-12-14 0.004309 0.011912 0.030972 0.081357 0.209892 0.518081 1.308182
2025-12-21 0.003828 0.010910 0.029173 0.078789 0.208771 0.528361 1.368128
2025-12-28 0.003620 0.010615 0.029138 0.080762 0.219404 0.568366 1.506621
2026-01-04 0.003369 0.010161 0.028622 0.081390 0.226619 0.600704 1.629526
2026-01-11 0.003125 0.009691 0.028000 0.081647 0.232877 0.631326 1.751668